Marketplace Roundtable 93: 'Insane' Growth Vs. 'Crazy' Valuations: A Bottom-Up View Of The Tech Sector


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On the latest episode of the Marketplace Roundtable Podcast, long-time contributor to Seeking Alpha, Chaim Siegel, aka Elazar Advisors, takes listeners through his unique bottom-up approach of stock picking in the tech space. Before setting out on his own and launching his Nail Tech Earnings investing service, Chaim spent years honing his craft, working directly with Steve Cohen as an analyst at SAC Capital as well as serving as a portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley and JLF Asset Management. His proprietary tech sector earnings estimates - available to subscribers of Nail Tech Earnings - are included in consensus Thomson Reuters and FactSet earnings estimates.

Chaim believes that based on his current growth projections for his favorite tech names, investors should continue overweighting the sector despite what appear to be frothy valuations on a historical basis.

Show notes:

  • 3:00 - Chaim's unique investing backstory
  • 9:15 - Chaim's proprietary earnings models: How does he arrive at his projections
  • 15:00 - 2 top tech sector ETFs go head to head: The Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) vs. The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK)
  • 21:15 - Hedging tech sector downside via ETFs: Shorting outright vs. inverse leveraged ETFs vs. ETF options
  • 25:45 - Using momentum/trend following as a secondary decision-making factor
  • 32:00 - Bottom-up analysis of top picks: Why Tesla (TSLA) and Zoom's (ZM) current valuations are besides the point
  • 45:30 - Are we in a tech bubble? Why the current period is not a late 90's redux

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