Why Azerbaijan Might Actually Invade Armenia

Star Spangled Gamblers

Eurasia expert Kristofer Harrison makes the case for why the odds of an invasion of Armenia by Azerbaijan are much higher than the market price on Polymarket.

3:54: Interview with Harrison begins

5:06: Do hedge funds use political betting insights?

7:10: Background on Armenia and Azerbaijan

7:56: Why there are tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan

12:15: Russia's role in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict

14:29: Domestic politics in Armenia

15:18: Evidence that Azerbaijan is serious about invading

17:44: Why hasn't Azerbaijan already invaded Armenia?

18:43: Balance of power between Azerbaijan and Armenia

20:37: Have Russia and/orTurkey greenlighted an invasion?

22:08: Will the West stop a war?

24:12: Odds of an invasion

27:24: Influence of the weather in Nagorno-Karabach

29:57: How rogue is Aliyev?

33:43: Religion in Azerbaijan

35:05: How much does Azerbaijan care about international investment?

36:55: How keep up with news related to the Azerbaijan-Armenia market

38:44: Will Putin still be in power by the end of the year?

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