A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
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245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos
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1:33:54Do we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that. LINKS Eleos AI Research People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners Bees Can’t Suffer? Lena, by qntm When AI Seems Conscious Experience Machines, Rob’s substack The War on General Computation WaPo on Blake Le…
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244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen
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1:23:13Andrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so. LINKS Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3) CA Form FTB3500 booklet IRS document 1828 (see also the summary) Nonprofit Compliance Checklist The Ethical Cul…
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Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neuronsעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot
1:53:56
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1:53:56Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s Chattel Childhood post The Mind Killer Our Groceries Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patr…
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Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling
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16:49Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025
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1:33:03Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon The Center for Educational Progress Our previous episode with Trace were we di…
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Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem
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13:19Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans
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36:24Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance AI Village Short Stories – Manek…
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241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira
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1:51:34Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory…
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240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg
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58:23Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speak…
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David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the […]על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at [email protected] Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone […]…
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238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian
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1:26:10We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. 🙁 This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The […]…
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237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian
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1:26:53We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our […]…
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236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan
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1:47:29Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & phil…
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235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen
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2:24:14Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender […]…
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234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice
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1:52:54We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 […
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233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten
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1:31:01Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email […]…
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The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here Check out NarrowPathעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett
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1:31:20John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacA…
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Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties
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11:57Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics
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22:00Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode breakעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich
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1:21:24Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that li…
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How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat
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6:31Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024. Based on this Twitter Pollעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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229 – Integrating Emotions
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1:26:37Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – [email protected] LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog LessWrong/Lighthaven Donations – you have until Jan 13! 00:00:05 – Integr…
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If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka
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2:06:28Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here! LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on the funding situation (again) Donate Eneasz’s nominated 2023 post/story on Less…
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227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon
1:46:12
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1:46:12We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. 🙁 Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House – remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The […]…
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226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline
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1:38:49We discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson on Why are amplitudes complex? 00:00:05 – Blast-Haven 00:03:49 – The Illusion of Moral Decline […]…
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Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back […]…
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A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at [email protected] please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so. 🙂על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift
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1:41:37We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From AskWho Eneasz has a boomer crisis about his AI clone Deep Utopia review Utopia, LOL? […]…
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Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham
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13:08AskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte Slide The “TESCREAL” Bungle by Ozy Brennan AskWho Casts AI podcastעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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223 – Going Back to the Classics
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2:06:50Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The Virtue of Silence Scissors Statements 00:00:05 – Pre-pre show Discussion 01:41:43 – Guild of the […
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Bonus – Discord Culture (preview)
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16:43Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Bayes Blast 35 – Disproving The Blindsight Thesis
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9:10GPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong. Peter Watts on Blindsight Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2 Thou Art Godshatterעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Bayes Blast 34 – Content Moderation is Infosec
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15:29Steven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security. The post discussed here is Como is Infosec.על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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222 – Consciousness As Recursive Reflections with Daniel Böttger
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1:59:09We talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains. LINKS Consciousness As Recursive Reflections Seven Secular Sermons Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX LightHaven’s Eternal September 0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections 01:29:30 – Personal News from Eneasz 01:31:04 – Guild of the Rose 01:32:15…
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Can we achieve our true potential? based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital also mentioned: Meetups Everywhere 2024 Are You Jesus or Hitlerעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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221 – Why The Field? Why Zombies?? with Liam
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2:28:02Eneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications. LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers 0:00:05 – Even More Zombies 01:59:12 – Feedback 0…
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Bayes Blast 32 – Canadian Health Care
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5:23A surprising update for two previously maple-pilled Yanksעל ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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220 – Chalmer’s Zombies, with Liam
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2:03:06We dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast. I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, Eneasz, and I had. I thought it provided a lot of awesome extra depth to […]על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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219 – On Excellence, with Tracing Woodgrains
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1:22:26Inspired by Trace’s speech about excellence at VibeCamp 3, Eneasz and Steven speak to Tracing Woodgrains about Excellence and its various aspects LINKS Trace’s SubStack Trace’s Twitter Wes on TracingWoodgrains as the Nietzschean Superman Gymnastics Then vs Now video Evolution of Gymnastics video 0:00:05 – Excellence 01:17:24 – Guild of the Rose 01:…
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218 – Bentham’s Bulldog and the Best Argument for God
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2:14:29Spurred by comments from a couple of episodes ago, we wanted to make sure we didn’t misrepresent Matthew’s position and he agreed to come lay it out for us on the show. Check out the links below to dive in deeper. LINKS Bentham’s Newsletter Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument for God and also Miracles […]…
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217 – Consensual Violence with Rikard
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1:50:09Rikard joins us to speak about the benefits of consensual violence LINKS Rikard’s Substack – Drunken Masterpieces Rikard is @rikardhjort Twitter Defense Against the Dark Arts is just the Dark Arts The Ultimate Self-Defense Championship Armchair Violence The poem Rikard recited 0:00:17 – Consensual Violence 1:24:05 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:25:37…
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216 – On Dying (And Cryonics)
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2:28:27Rachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now. LINKS All the Living and the Dead Caitlin Doughty on YouTube CI cryonics case reports Places of Death in the US Prev Episodes – Cryonics pt 1 and pt 2 w Robert McIntyre, and Cryo […]על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Bayes Blast 31 – Blowing Hot Air (Free Version)
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18:33Brandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons and Substack supporters will have access to the whole thing. https://earth.nullschool.net/על ידי The Bayesian Conspiracy
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215 – Rationalism and Religion, with Brandon Hendrickson
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2:18:59Brandon Hendrickson takes over the podcast! He interrogates Eneasz about his past, and this crazy rationalist religion idea, and introduces a vast knowledge base of secular religion development. LINKS Brandon’s substack, The Lost Tools of Learning Simple square visualization to understand Bayes Theorem SA – Yes We Have Noticed The Skulls That’s Mod…
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