S04 E05: Melisa Stivaletti, the Queen of OSINT, on Elevating OSINT with AI, Private-Public Synergy, and More

OSINT with ShadowDragon & Digital Tools For Modern Investigations

• Guest introduction & background

  • Melisa describes how the 2010–11 Arab Spring revealed the power of social-media data while she was a Department of the Army civilian in Afghanistan.
  • Since then she has worked across academia, federal agencies, and the private sector to professionalize open-source intelligence, currently serving as OSINT Director at Guidehouse and chair of AFCEA’s Emerging Professionals in the Intelligence Community (EPIC) committee.

• Why OSINT matters now

  • Every modern investigation—military, law-enforcement, or corporate—relies on publicly available information (PAI); skipping it “short-changes” the mission.
  • Recent unclassified U.S. DoD, ODNI, and Army OSINT strategies publicly signal a whole-of-government commitment and an invitation for industry partnership.
  • Congress has underscored this shift with the first House Subcommittee dedicated to open-source intelligence.

• Public-private synergy & funding gaps

  • Dual-use commercial tools and venture-backed research and development give the U.S. an edge, but the Intelligence Community still allocates less than 1% of its budget to OSINT despite the discipline providing roughly 30% of material in the President’s Daily Brief.
  • Cloud storage, advanced data sets, and continuous tool development make OSINT “cheap relative to satellites” but far from free; chronic underfunding risks hollowing out capabilities.

• Generative AI opportunities & cautions

  • Large language models accelerate sense-making (summarization, triage, translation) amid an ever-expanding data ocean.
  • Analysts must demand rigorous sourcing and bias evaluation—“every AI-generated sentence needs a footnote”—and should favor secure, controlled models over public chatbots.
  • The real value lies in “a collector who knows how to use AI,” not in AI replacing human tradecraft.

• Operational vs. strategic OSINT

  • Tactical users (SOF, JSOC) need rapid, geotagged, mission-ready insights; strategic analysts focus on long-term trends, indications & warnings, and partner sharing.
  • Both require advanced skills—data science, cyber forensics, provenance verification—not just “having an internet connection.”

• Professionalization & future skills

  • Formal tradecraft standards, dedicated career paths, and prompt-engineering expertise are emerging to match HUMINT, SIGINT, and GEOINT.
  • Melisa urges the next generation of intel professionals to embrace OSINT’s complexity, continuous learning curve, and growing strategic impact.

• Persistent misconceptions debunked

  • Myth #1: OSINT is “free.” Reality: tooling, storage, and talent are expensive and scaling.
  • Myth #2: OSINT is inferior to classified sources. Reality: it often provides the first, fastest, and sometimes only vantage point—and stands on equal analytic rigor.

Special Guest: Melisa Stivaletti .