LW - Take the wheel, Shoggoth! (Lesswrong is trying out changes to the frontpage algorithm) by Ruby

The Nonlinear Library: LessWrong

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Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Take the wheel, Shoggoth! (Lesswrong is trying out changes to the frontpage algorithm), published by Ruby on April 23, 2024 on LessWrong. For the last month, @RobertM and I have been exploring the possible use of recommender systems on LessWrong. Today we launched our first site-wide experiment in that direction. (In the course of our efforts, we also hit upon a frontpage refactor that we reckon is pretty good: tabs instead of a clutter of different sections. For now, only for logged-in users. Logged-out users see the "Latest" tab, which is the same-as-usual list of posts.) Why algorithmic recommendations? A core value of LessWrong is to be timeless and not news-driven. However, the central algorithm by which attention allocation happens on the site is the Hacker News algorithm[1], which basically only shows you things that were posted recently, and creates a strong incentive for discussion to always be centered around the latest content. This seems very sad to me. When a new user shows up on LessWrong, it seems extremely unlikely that the most important posts for them to read were all written within the last week or two. I do really like the simplicity and predictability of the Hacker News algorithm. More karma means more visibility, older means less visibility. Very simple. When I vote, I basically know the full effect this has on what is shown to other users or to myself. But I think the cost of that simplicity has become too high, especially as older content makes up a larger and larger fraction of the best content on the site, and people have been becoming ever more specialized in the research and articles they publish on the site. So we are experimenting with changing things up. I don't know whether these experiments will ultimately replace the Hacker News algorithm, but as the central attention allocation mechanism on the site, it definitely seems worth trying out and iterating on. We'll be trying out a bunch of things from reinforcement-learning based personalized algorithms, to classical collaborative filtering algorithms to a bunch of handcrafted heuristics that we'll iterate on ourselves. The Concrete Experiment Our first experiment is Recombee, a recommendations SaaS, since spinning up our RL agent pipeline would be a lot of work.We feed it user view and vote history. So far, it seems that it can be really good when it's good, often recommending posts that people are definitely into (and more so than posts in the existing feed). Unfortunately it's not reliable across users for some reason and we've struggled to get it to reliably recommend the most important recent content, which is an important use-case we still want to serve. Our current goal is to produce a recommendations feed that both makes people feel like they're keeping up to date with what's new (something many people care about) and also suggest great reads from across LessWrong's entire archive. The Recommendations tab we just launched has a feed using Recombee recommendations. We're also getting started using Google's Vertex AI offering. A very early test makes it seem possibly better than Recombee. We'll see. (Some people on the team want to try throwing relevant user history and available posts into an LLM and seeing what it recommends, though cost might be prohibitive for now.) Unless you switch to the "Recommendations" tab, nothing changes for you. "Latest" is the default tab and is using the same old HN algorithm that you are used to. I'll feel like we've succeeded when people switch to "Recommended" and tell us that they prefer it. At that point, we might make "Recommended" the default tab. Preventing Bad Outcomes I do think there are ways for recommendations to end up being pretty awful. I think many readers have encountered at least one content recommendation algorithm that isn't givi...